Tag Archive: Electoral Votes


The First 2016 Electoral College Map Looks Bad For Democrats

 

 

 

 

” Gradually it is sinking in to Official Washington that the 2014 election could very well do to Democrats what the 1930 election did to Republicans: make them irrelevant for at least a generation.

  In 1930, the first election after the Stock Market Crash saw Republicans go from a 270-164 majority in the House to a minority, albeit by one seat. In the next three elections, Republicans would continue to lose until there were only 88 Republicans in the House after the 1936 election. The Depression wiped out two-thirds of the House Republicans in just eight years and it would be another decade — and world war — before Republicans got control once more. And then only for two years and then two years after Eisenhower’s election. Democrats controlled the House for 60 of the 64 years from the 1930 election to the 1994 election.

  Talk about your climate change. The effects on the nation were devastating but only in retrospective. Incremental socialism cam in the guise of helping people and solving problems, even as it grew the government into Godzilla proportion.

  In 1930, state legislatures flipped Democratic overnight as well. The damage was long term. It would be 84 years until Republicans controlled the West Virginia House of Delegates again. West Virginia fared well in the 1920s — far better than most of the 11 Southern states. Today it is the second-poorest state in the nation.

  Now then, I am not saying that the 31 states where Republicans control the legislature will definitely go Republican in the 2016 presidential race. But if they do, that’s 314 Electoral College votes. You need only 270 to win.

  The good news for Republicans and the bad news for Democrats is that scenario seems plausible, because people may be looking for political stability. “

 

     Read Mr Surber’s entire analysis here but don’t get cocky , if any group can drag defeat from the jaws of victory it is the GOP .

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

About these ads

Michael Barone:

 “Wednesday night’s presidential debate in which Mitt Romney shellacked Barack Obama attracted the biggest audience since the debate between Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan seven days before the 1980 election..

About 70 million Americans watched, a little more than half the 131 million voter turnout in 2008. That’s an estimate, because the ratings companies don’t count those watching on C-SPAN, PBS or the Internet.

Did the debates matter? The first state polls, conducted by Rasmussen and We Ask America on Thursday night, suggest the answer is yes.

Rasmussen reported that Romney was down 1 point in Ohio. We Ask America had him up 1 there.

Rasmussen had Romney up 1 in Virginia. We Ask America had him up 3. And in Florida, We Ask America had Romney up 3.

These states are important because the Obama campaign has spent millions on anti-Romney ads there, to build a fire wall blocking Romney from getting to a 270-vote majority in the Electoral College.

The arithmetic is fairly simple. The 28 states plus D.C. and one Nebraska congressional district that Obama carried in 2008 have 359 electoral votes this year. Subtract Indiana, which has fallen off the target list, and the Nebraska district, and he’s down to 347.”

The race for 270 from Jennifer Rubin

“For all these reasons you can readily see why the liberal narrative that the race is over is aspirational and not factual. Arguing that the “polls are real” or pointing to the
latest gaffe is satisfying for the anxious liberal pundits, I suppose, but neither is an argument to vote for Obama. Neither phenomenon is any guarantee that Obama’s
“lead” is any more lasting than his
”recovery” (which lasted less than the length of an NBA season). “

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